Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.159933 0.171096 0.182758 0.195871 0.210231 0.225508 0.243026
2026-01-18 0.138763 0.154800 0.172495 0.193565 0.218099 0.245921 0.280080
2026-01-25 0.125309 0.143593 0.164492 0.190338 0.221709 0.258895 0.306826
2026-02-01 0.118889 0.139311 0.163355 0.194068 0.232712 0.280344 0.344488
2026-02-08 0.111082 0.132485 0.158288 0.192117 0.235955 0.291777 0.369794
2026-02-15 0.105384 0.127682 0.155137 0.191994 0.241061 0.305458 0.398667
2026-02-22 0.098977 0.121493 0.149708 0.188345 0.240976 0.311868 0.417664
2026-03-01 0.094503 0.117451 0.146696 0.187518 0.244383 0.322963 0.443871
2026-03-08 0.091211 0.114714 0.145154 0.188439 0.250068 0.337413 0.475982
2026-03-15 0.086890 0.110362 0.141177 0.185683 0.250236 0.343730 0.496041
2026-03-22 0.083467 0.107031 0.138373 0.184334 0.252225 0.352691 0.520783
2026-03-29 0.081647 0.105767 0.138302 0.186802 0.259877 0.370599 0.561420
2026-04-05 0.078666 0.102807 0.135768 0.185614 0.262041 0.380300 0.589621
2026-04-12 0.075561 0.099546 0.132661 0.183406 0.262482 0.387267 0.613789
2026-04-19 0.072445 0.096132 0.129167 0.180399 0.261422 0.391615 0.633565
2026-04-26 0.071459 0.095701 0.129945 0.183878 0.270821 0.413865 0.688075
2026-05-03 0.069032 0.093088 0.127395 0.182058 0.271466 0.421243 0.715330
2026-05-10 0.067230 0.091309 0.125997 0.181943 0.274866 0.433559 0.753320
2026-05-17 0.064662 0.088309 0.122640 0.178540 0.272507 0.435439 0.770581
2026-05-24 0.062927 0.086481 0.120981 0.177768 0.274555 0.445352 0.805233
2026-05-31 0.061699 0.085364 0.120356 0.178627 0.279438 0.460774 0.853128
2026-06-07 0.059695 0.083009 0.117728 0.176056 0.278119 0.464417 0.875868
2026-06-14 0.058109 0.081237 0.115941 0.174797 0.279048 0.472382 0.909043